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Short title
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Earthquake Predictability Research
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Oral presentation
Date/Room/Chair
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May 24 AM1 (09:00 - 10:30)
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301A
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Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Matt Gerstenberger
/ Qinghua Huang
/ Shinji Toda
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May 24 AM2 (10:45 - 12:15)
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301A
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Changsheng Jiang
/ Jiancang Zhuang
/ Annie Chu
/ Kazuyoshi Nanjo
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Poster presentation
Date/Room
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May 24 (Core Time 12:30 - 13:15)
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Convention Hall
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Contact
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Naoshi Hirata
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Email
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hirata@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp
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Convener
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Naoshi Hirata
/ Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Matt Gerstenberger
/ Kazuyoshi Nanjo
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Scope
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Recent earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing forecast models under global collaboration. The Japanese testing center is operating such tests for registered models. The findings may yield a better understanding of the models' basics, particularly physical aspects. Our session's focus will be predictability research in Japan, California, New Zealand and other regions.
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Notes
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1. All presentations in the session (S-SS022 Global Collaborative Earthquake Predictability Research) must be made in English.
2. The session is held on 24 May 2010 in the allocated room 301A for oral presentations starting in the morning and in the Convention Hall for poster presentations starting in the lunch time.
Because of no PC compatible laptop as standard equipment in the room, you need to bring a laptop computer to make your presentation. Please connect your computer to the projector and confirm the proper operation before your presentation.
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| Time |
Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Oral Presentation May 24 AM1 (09:00-10:30) 301A to the top
|
|
09:00 - 09:05
|
Introduction to Global Collaborative Earthquake Predictability Research
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|
09:05 - 09:20
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Invited
SSS022-01
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The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Perspectives on Evaluation and Testing for Seismic Hazard
|
Danijel Schorlemmer
David D. Jackson
Thomas H. Jordan
|
Danijel Schorlemmer
|
disc2
|
|
09:20 - 09:35
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Invited
SSS022-02
|
Retrospective Testing in the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Centre
|
Matt Gerstenberger
David Rhoades
Annemarie Christophersen
|
Matt Gerstenberger
|
disc2
|
|
09:35 - 09:45
|
SSS022-03
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CSEP-Japan: Testing earthquake forecasts based on seismicity data
|
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Naoshi Hirata
other
|
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
|
disc2
|
|
09:45 - 10:00
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SSS022-04
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Earthquake-related electromagnetics: from phenomena to physics
|
Qinghua Huang
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Qinghua Huang
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disc2
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10:00 - 10:15
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SSS022-05
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CoulombExpress: Near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced stress transfer and seismicity for prospective testing
|
Shinji Toda
Bogdan Enescu
Ross Stein
|
Shinji Toda
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disc2
|
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10:15 - 10:30
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SSS022-06
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Information gains of seismicity models based on a P wave velocity model
|
Masajiro Imoto
|
Masajiro Imoto
|
disc2
|
|
Oral Presentation May 24 AM2 (10:45-12:15) 301A to the top
|
|
10:45 - 11:00
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Invited
SSS022-07
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Evaluation of background seismicity and potential source zones of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunan region
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Changsheng Jiang
Jiancang Zhuang
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Changsheng Jiang
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disc2
|
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11:00 - 11:15
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SSS022-08
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Applications of the gambling score in evaluating earthquake predictions and forecasts
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Jiancang Zhuang
Jeremy D. Zechar
Changsheng Jiang
other
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Jiancang Zhuang
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disc2
|
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11:15 - 11:30
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SSS022-09
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Comparison of ETAS parameter estimates across different global tectonic zones
|
Annie Chu
|
Annie Chu
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disc2
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11:30 - 11:45
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SSS022-10
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A modified model for forecasting aftershocks
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Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Takeo Ishibe
Ken'ichiro Yamashina
other
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Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
disc2
|
|
11:45 - 12:00
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SSS022-11
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Natural time analysis of large earthquakes in Japan
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Masashi Kamogawa
Seiya Uyeda
Yuki Tomizawa
|
Masashi Kamogawa
|
disc2
|
|
12:00 - 12:15
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SSS022-12
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The proposal for the quantitative evaluation method for seismic quiescence phenomena
|
Toshiyasu Nagao
Kenji Nakamura
Akihiro Takeuchi
other
|
Toshiyasu Nagao
|
disc2
|
| Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Poster Presentation May 24 Core Time (12:30-13:15) Convention Hall to the top
|
|
SSS022-P01
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Forecast for small interplate repeating earthquakes near the east coast of NE Japan in 2009
|
Masami Okada
Naoki Uchida
Shigeki Aoki
|
Masami Okada
|
disc2
|
|
SSS022-P02
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Natural time analysis for seismicity
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Seiya Uyeda
Masashi Kamogawa
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Seiya Uyeda
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disc2
|
|
SSS022-P03
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Earthquake forecast models based on the RI algorithm for Italy
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
disc2
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