Outline of Session

   

Solid Earth Sciences(S) / Seismology(SS) /  **International Session
S-SS022 Global Collaborative Earthquake Predictability Research


Short title Earthquake Predictability Research
Oral presentation
Date/Room/Chair
May 24 AM1 (09:00 - 10:30) 301A Danijel Schorlemmer  / Matt Gerstenberger  / Qinghua Huang  / Shinji Toda 
May 24 AM2 (10:45 - 12:15) 301A Changsheng Jiang  / Jiancang Zhuang  / Annie Chu  / Kazuyoshi Nanjo 
Poster presentation
Date/Room
May 24 (Core Time 12:30 - 13:15) Convention Hall
Contact Naoshi Hirata
Email hirata@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Convener Naoshi Hirata  / Danijel Schorlemmer  / Matt Gerstenberger  / Kazuyoshi Nanjo 
Scope Recent earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing forecast models under global collaboration. The Japanese testing center is operating such tests for registered models. The findings may yield a better understanding of the models' basics, particularly physical aspects. Our session's focus will be predictability research in Japan, California, New Zealand and other regions.
Notes 1. All presentations in the session (S-SS022 Global Collaborative Earthquake Predictability Research) must be made in English. 2. The session is held on 24 May 2010 in the allocated room 301A for oral presentations starting in the morning and in the Convention Hall for poster presentations starting in the lunch time. Because of no PC compatible laptop as standard equipment in the room, you need to bring a laptop computer to make your presentation. Please connect your computer to the projector and confirm the proper operation before your presentation.


Time Presentation No Title Author Presenter Abstract
Oral Presentation   May 24 AM1 (09:00-10:30) 301A                              to the top
09:00 - 09:05 Introduction to Global Collaborative Earthquake Predictability Research
09:05 - 09:20 Invited
SSS022-01
The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Perspectives on Evaluation and Testing for Seismic Hazard Danijel Schorlemmer
David D. Jackson
Thomas H. Jordan
Danijel Schorlemmer English
09:20 - 09:35 Invited
SSS022-02
Retrospective Testing in the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Centre Matt Gerstenberger
David Rhoades
Annemarie Christophersen
Matt Gerstenberger English
09:35 - 09:45 SSS022-03 CSEP-Japan: Testing earthquake forecasts based on seismicity data Hiroshi Tsuruoka
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Naoshi Hirata
other
Hiroshi Tsuruoka English
09:45 - 10:00 SSS022-04 Earthquake-related electromagnetics: from phenomena to physics Qinghua Huang Qinghua Huang English
10:00 - 10:15 SSS022-05 CoulombExpress: Near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced stress transfer and seismicity for prospective testing Shinji Toda
Bogdan Enescu
Ross Stein
Shinji Toda English
10:15 - 10:30 SSS022-06 Information gains of seismicity models based on a P wave velocity model Masajiro Imoto Masajiro Imoto English
Oral Presentation   May 24 AM2 (10:45-12:15) 301A                              to the top
10:45 - 11:00 Invited
SSS022-07
Evaluation of background seismicity and potential source zones of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunan region Changsheng Jiang
Jiancang Zhuang
Changsheng Jiang English
11:00 - 11:15 SSS022-08 Applications of the gambling score in evaluating earthquake predictions and forecasts Jiancang Zhuang
Jeremy D. Zechar
Changsheng Jiang
other
Jiancang Zhuang English
11:15 - 11:30 SSS022-09 Comparison of ETAS parameter estimates across different global tectonic zones Annie Chu Annie Chu English
11:30 - 11:45 SSS022-10 A modified model for forecasting aftershocks Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Takeo Ishibe
Ken'ichiro Yamashina
other
Kazuyoshi Nanjo English
11:45 - 12:00 SSS022-11 Natural time analysis of large earthquakes in Japan Masashi Kamogawa
Seiya Uyeda
Yuki Tomizawa
Masashi Kamogawa English
12:00 - 12:15 SSS022-12 The proposal for the quantitative evaluation method for seismic quiescence phenomena Toshiyasu Nagao
Kenji Nakamura
Akihiro Takeuchi
other
Toshiyasu Nagao English


Presentation No Title Author Presenter Abstract
Poster Presentation   May 24  Core Time (12:30-13:15) Convention Hall                    to the top
SSS022-P01 Forecast for small interplate repeating earthquakes near the east coast of NE Japan in 2009 Masami Okada
Naoki Uchida
Shigeki Aoki
Masami Okada English
SSS022-P02 Natural time analysis for seismicity Seiya Uyeda
Masashi Kamogawa
Seiya Uyeda English
SSS022-P03 Earthquake forecast models based on the RI algorithm for Italy Kazuyoshi Nanjo Kazuyoshi Nanjo English