|
Short title
|
Earthquake Predictability Research
|
Oral presentation
Date/Room/Chair
|
May 25 AM1 (09:00 - 10:30)
|
104
|
Chung-Han Chan
/ Abdelhak Talbi
|
|
May 25 AM2 (10:45 - 12:15)
|
104
|
Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
|
|
May 25 PM1 (13:45 - 15:15)
|
104
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
/ Sayoko Yokoi
|
Poster presentation
Date/Room
|
May 25 (Core Time 15:30 - 16:45)
|
|
|
Contact
|
Naoshi Hirata
|
|
Email
|
hirata@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp
|
|
Convener
|
Naoshi Hirata
/ Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Chung-Han Chan
/ Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
|
Scope
|
Recent earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing forecast models. Several nations are currently operating or developing regional centers for such tests, and the findings may yield a better understanding of the models' basic features and particular physical aspects. A special focus of this session will be experiments in Japan and multi-national collaborations.
|
|
Notes
|
|
| Time |
Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Oral Presentation May 25 AM1 (09:00-10:30) 104 to the top
|
|
09:00 - 09:15
|
SSS01-01
|
Earthquake statistics and probabilistic forecasting for the southern Kanto after the 2011 Mw9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Shin'ichi Sakai
Aitaro Kato
other
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
English
|
|
09:15 - 09:30
|
Invited
SSS01-02
|
Earthquake forecasting using a smoothing Kernel and the rate-and-state friction law: Application to Taiwan
|
Chung-Han Chan
Yih-Min Wu
Jui-Pin Wang
|
Chung-Han Chan
|
English
|
|
09:30 - 09:45
|
SSS01-03
|
Long-term earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model for short-term clustering
|
Jiancang Zhuang
|
Jiancang Zhuang
|
English
|
|
09:45 - 10:00
|
SSS01-04
|
Inter-event Time Maps to Predict Earthquakes
|
Abdelhak Talbi
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Kenji Satake
other
|
Abdelhak Talbi
|
English
|
|
10:00 - 10:15
|
SSS01-05
|
Predictability of the 2011 Tohoku M9.0 Earthquake
|
Shuxian ZHAO
Li MA
Yongqing ZHANG
|
Shuxian ZHAO
|
English
|
|
10:15 - 10:30
|
SSS01-06
|
The influence of the daily variation of the detection capability on the completeness magnitude
|
Takaki Iwata
|
Takaki Iwata
|
English
|
|
Oral Presentation May 25 AM2 (10:45-12:15) 104 to the top
|
|
10:45 - 11:00
|
Invited
SSS01-07
|
Current developments and results of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)
|
Maria Liukis
Danijel Schorlemmer
John Yu
other
|
Maria Liukis
|
English
|
|
11:00 - 11:15
|
SSS01-08
|
Overview of the CSEP-Japan: The Japanese node of the collaboratory for the study of earthquake predictability
|
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Sayoko Yokoi
other
|
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
|
English
|
|
11:15 - 11:30
|
SSS01-09
|
CSEP-Japan: Report on prospective evaluation of earthquake forecasts in Japan
|
Sayoko Yokoi
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
other
|
Sayoko Yokoi
|
English
|
|
11:30 - 11:45
|
SSS01-10
|
Proposal of correlation-based evaluation methods for earthquake forecasts
|
Ken'ichiro Yamashina
Tetsuto Himeno
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
|
Ken'ichiro Yamashina
|
English
|
|
11:45 - 12:00
|
Invited
SSS01-11
|
The Testability of Estimates of Maximum Magnitude
|
Danijel Schorlemmer
Robert Clements
Alvaro Gonzalez
other
|
Danijel Schorlemmer
|
English
|
|
12:00 - 12:15
|
Invited
SSS01-12
|
Temporal Clustering of Mega Subduction Earthquakes
|
Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
|
Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
|
English
|
|
Oral Presentation May 25 PM1 (13:45-15:15) 104 to the top
|
|
13:45 - 14:10
|
Invited
SSS01-13
|
Possibility of the use of seismicity data for monitoring spatiotemporal slip variation on a plate interface
|
Naoyuki Kato
Kei Katsumata
|
Naoyuki Kato
|
English
|
|
14:10 - 14:25
|
SSS01-14
|
A forecast experiment of earthquake activity under Japanese Research Program for Prediction of Earthquakes
|
Naoshi Hirata
|
Naoshi Hirata
|
English
|
|
14:25 - 14:40
|
SSS01-15
|
Comprehensive and topical evaluations of earthquake forecasts in number, time, space and magnitude
|
Yosihiko Ogata
Kouichi Katsura
Giuseppe Falcone
other
|
Yosihiko Ogata
|
English
|
| Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Poster Presentation May 25 Core Time (15:30-16:45) to the top
|
|
SSS01-P01
|
Seismic quiescence and natural time analysis
|
Yuta Nakatani
Masahiro Ueno
Nakatani Masao
other
|
Yuta Nakatani
|
English
|