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Short title
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Earthquake Predictability Research
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Oral presentation
Date/Room/Chair
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May 25 AM1 (09:00 - 10:30)
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104
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Chung-Han Chan
/ Abdelhak Talbi
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May 25 AM2 (10:45 - 12:15)
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104
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Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
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May 25 PM1 (13:45 - 15:15)
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104
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Kazuyoshi Nanjo
/ Sayoko Yokoi
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Poster presentation
Date/Room
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May 25 (Core Time 15:30 - 16:45)
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Contact
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Naoshi Hirata
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Email
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hirata@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp
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Convener
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Naoshi Hirata
/ Danijel Schorlemmer
/ Chung-Han Chan
/ Kazuyoshi Nanjo
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Scope
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Recent earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing forecast models. Several nations are currently operating or developing regional centers for such tests, and the findings may yield a better understanding of the models' basic features and particular physical aspects. A special focus of this session will be experiments in Japan and multi-national collaborations.
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Notes
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| Time |
Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
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Oral Presentation May 25 AM1 (09:00-10:30) 104 to the top
|
|
09:00 - 09:15
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SSS01-01
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Earthquake statistics and probabilistic forecasting for the southern Kanto after the 2011 Mw9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake
|
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Shin'ichi Sakai
Aitaro Kato
other
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Kazuyoshi Nanjo
|
|
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09:15 - 09:30
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Invited
SSS01-02
|
Earthquake forecasting using a smoothing Kernel and the rate-and-state friction law: Application to Taiwan
|
Chung-Han Chan
Yih-Min Wu
Jui-Pin Wang
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Chung-Han Chan
|
|
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09:30 - 09:45
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SSS01-03
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Long-term earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model for short-term clustering
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Jiancang Zhuang
|
Jiancang Zhuang
|
|
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09:45 - 10:00
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SSS01-04
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Inter-event Time Maps to Predict Earthquakes
|
Abdelhak Talbi
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Kenji Satake
other
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Abdelhak Talbi
|
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10:00 - 10:15
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SSS01-05
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Predictability of the 2011 Tohoku M9.0 Earthquake
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Shuxian ZHAO
Li MA
Yongqing ZHANG
|
Shuxian ZHAO
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|
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10:15 - 10:30
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SSS01-06
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The influence of the daily variation of the detection capability on the completeness magnitude
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Takaki Iwata
|
Takaki Iwata
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|
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Oral Presentation May 25 AM2 (10:45-12:15) 104 to the top
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10:45 - 11:00
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Invited
SSS01-07
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Current developments and results of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)
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Maria Liukis
Danijel Schorlemmer
John Yu
other
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Maria Liukis
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11:00 - 11:15
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SSS01-08
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Overview of the CSEP-Japan: The Japanese node of the collaboratory for the study of earthquake predictability
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Hiroshi Tsuruoka
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Sayoko Yokoi
other
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Hiroshi Tsuruoka
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11:15 - 11:30
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SSS01-09
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CSEP-Japan: Report on prospective evaluation of earthquake forecasts in Japan
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Sayoko Yokoi
Kazuyoshi Nanjo
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
other
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Sayoko Yokoi
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11:30 - 11:45
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SSS01-10
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Proposal of correlation-based evaluation methods for earthquake forecasts
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Ken'ichiro Yamashina
Tetsuto Himeno
Hiroshi Tsuruoka
|
Ken'ichiro Yamashina
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|
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11:45 - 12:00
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Invited
SSS01-11
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The Testability of Estimates of Maximum Magnitude
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Danijel Schorlemmer
Robert Clements
Alvaro Gonzalez
other
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Danijel Schorlemmer
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12:00 - 12:15
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Invited
SSS01-12
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Temporal Clustering of Mega Subduction Earthquakes
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Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
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Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
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|
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Oral Presentation May 25 PM1 (13:45-15:15) 104 to the top
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13:45 - 14:10
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Invited
SSS01-13
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Possibility of the use of seismicity data for monitoring spatiotemporal slip variation on a plate interface
|
Naoyuki Kato
Kei Katsumata
|
Naoyuki Kato
|
|
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14:10 - 14:25
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SSS01-14
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A forecast experiment of earthquake activity under Japanese Research Program for Prediction of Earthquakes
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Naoshi Hirata
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Naoshi Hirata
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14:25 - 14:40
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SSS01-15
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Comprehensive and topical evaluations of earthquake forecasts in number, time, space and magnitude
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Yosihiko Ogata
Kouichi Katsura
Giuseppe Falcone
other
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Yosihiko Ogata
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| Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
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Poster Presentation May 25 Core Time (15:30-16:45) to the top
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SSS01-P01
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Seismic quiescence and natural time analysis
|
Yuta Nakatani
Masahiro Ueno
Nakatani Masao
other
|
Yuta Nakatani
|
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