|
Short title
|
Earthquake prediction and forecast
|
Oral presentation
Date/Room/Chair
|
May 24 AM1 (10:00 - 10:45)
|
103
|
Kenji Maeda
|
|
May 24 AM2 (11:00 - 12:45)
|
103
|
Yutaka Hayashi
/ Takao Kumazawa
|
Poster presentation
Date/Room
|
May 24 (Core Time 18:15 - 19:30)
|
Convention Hall
|
|
Contact
|
Junichi Nakajima
|
|
Email
|
nakajima@aob.gp.tohoku.ac.jp
|
|
Convener
|
Junichi Nakajima
|
|
Scope
|
This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.
|
|
Notes
|
|
| Time |
Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Oral Presentation May 24 AM1 (10:00-10:45) 103 to the top
|
|
10:00 - 10:15
|
SSS27-01
|
Statistical investigation of spatio-temporal densities of foreshocks to understand earthquake predictability
|
KAMOGAWA, Masashi
TANAKA, Rika
ORIHARA, Yoshiaki
other
|
KAMOGAWA, Masashi
|
|
|
10:15 - 10:30
|
SSS27-02
|
Proper scoring systems available for probability forecasts targeting rare phenomena
|
HAYASHI, Yutaka
|
HAYASHI, Yutaka
|
|
|
10:30 - 10:45
|
SSS27-03
|
Physical interpretation and detection of anomalies associated with crustal processes leading to large earthquakes
|
SUYEHIRO, Kiyoshi
SACKS, Selwyn
TAKANAMI, Tetsuo
other
|
SUYEHIRO, Kiyoshi
|
|
|
Oral Presentation May 24 AM2 (11:00-12:45) 103 to the top
|
|
11:00 - 11:15
|
SSS27-04
|
Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain
|
KUMAZAWA, Takao
OGATA, Yosihiko
KIMURA, Kazuhiro
other
|
KUMAZAWA, Takao
|
|
|
11:15 - 11:30
|
SSS27-05
|
Seismo-ionospheric precursor monitoring system based on near-real-time spaceborne and ground GPS observation
|
TSAI, Ho-fang
LIU, Jann-yenq
CHEN, Chia-hung
other
|
TSAI, Ho-fang
|
|
|
11:30 - 11:45
|
SSS27-06
|
Long-term groundwater temperature change at a hot spring preceding the 2014 Nagano-ken Hokubu earthquake of M6.7
|
TSUKUDA, Tameshige
|
TSUKUDA, Tameshige
|
|
|
11:45 - 12:00
|
SSS27-07
|
Empirical forecast of mainshocks based on foreshock activities - Application to the north-central Nagano prefecture -
|
MAEDA, Kenji
HIROSE, Fuyuki
|
MAEDA, Kenji
|
|
|
12:00 - 12:15
|
SSS27-08
|
Estimation of inelastic displacement of a fault zone during an earthquake cycle
|
YAMAMOTO, Kiyohiko
|
YAMAMOTO, Kiyohiko
|
|
|
12:15 - 12:30
|
SSS27-09
|
Euler Rotation of Focal Mechanism to determine the main shock of the East Japan Super Earthquake, March 2011
|
NIITSUMA, Nobuaki
|
NIITSUMA, Nobuaki
|
|
|
12:30 - 12:45
|
3-min talk in an oral session (SSS27-P02/SSS27-P04/SSS27-P05)
|
| Presentation No |
Title |
Author |
Presenter |
Abstract |
|
Poster Presentation May 24 Core Time (18:15-19:30) Convention Hall to the top
|
|
SSS27-P01
|
The stress distribution in the whole area of the slab changed completely after the 2004 off Kii Peninsula earthquake
|
MASE, Hirofumi
|
MASE, Hirofumi
|
|
|
SSS27-P02
|
Predicting earthquakes just before by observing electric fields
|
TAKAHASHI, Kozo
|
TAKAHASHI, Kozo
|
|
|
SSS27-P03
|
Long term predictability for the earthquake recurring a few times
|
TANAKA, Masayuki
OKADA, Masami
UCHIDA, Naoki
|
TANAKA, Masayuki
|
|
|
SSS27-P04
|
Seismic quiescence and activation that precede large earthquakes and their source regions
|
YOSHIKAWA, Sumio
HAYASHIMOTO, Naoki
AKETAGAWA, Tamotsu
|
YOSHIKAWA, Sumio
|
|
|
SSS27-P05
|
On the witness testimonies before the 1946 Nankai earthquake on the Pacific coast of Kii peninsula, Japan
|
UMEDA, Yasuhiro
ITABA, Satoshi
|
UMEDA, Yasuhiro
|
|
|
SSS27-P06
|
Relation between tidal triggering effect and interplate seismicity along the Tonga-Kermadec trench
|
HIROSE, Fuyuki
KAMIGAICHI, Osamu
MAEDA, Kenji
|
HIROSE, Fuyuki
|
|